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Submissions from 2024

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The impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the management of private railway companies in Japan: Profitability and business model analyses, Hideaki Endo and Mika Goto

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Determining contract conditions in a PPP project among deep uncertainty in future outturn travel demand, Kangsoo Kim, Jinseog Kim, Hyejin Cho, and Donghyung Yook

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Behavioural modelling of metro car choice, Mathias Moller and Sebastián Raveau

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Developing an agent-based microsimulation for predicting the Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) demand in developing countries: A case study of Dhaka, Bangladesh, Khatun E. Zannat, Janek Laudan, Charisma F. Choudhury, and Stephane Hess

Submissions from 2023

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Short-Term Passenger Flow Prediction Using a Bus Network Graph Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network Model, Asiye Baghbani, Nizar Bouguila, and Zachary Patterson

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Forecasting passenger flows and headway at train level for a public transport line: Focus on atypical situations, Thomas Bapaume, Etienne Côme, Mostafa Ameli, Jérémy Roos, and Latifa Oukhellou

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Short-term forecasting of origin-destination matrix in transit system via a deep learning approach, Yuxin He, Yang Zhao, and Kwok-Leung Tsui

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Effects of buffer size on associations between the built environment and metro ridership: A machine learning-based sensitive analysis, Xiang Liu, Xiaohong Chen, Mingshu Tian, and Jonas De Vos

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Predictability of short-term passengers’ origin and destination demands in urban rail transit, Fang Yang, Chunyan Shuai, Qian Qian, Wencong Wang, Mingwei He, Min He, and Jaeyoung Lee

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Linkage mechanism of public transport subsidy: considering passenger ridership, cost, fare and service quality, Chunqin Zhang, Meng Liu, Daoyou Wang, Aning Ni, Guangnian Xiao, and Weite Lu

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Improved imputation of rule sets in class association rule modeling: application to transportation mode choice, Jiajia Zhang, Tao Feng, Harry Timmermans, and Zhengkui Lin

Submissions from 2022

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Intrapersonal variability in public transport path choice due to changes in service reliability, Ulrik Berggren, Carmelo D'Agostino, Helena Svensson, and Karin Brundell-Freij

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A direct demand model for bus transit ridership in Bengaluru, India, L. Deepa, Abdul Rawoof Pinjari, Sangram Krishna Nirmale, Karthik K. Srinivasan, and Tarun Rambha

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Forecasting using dynamic factor models with cluster structure at Barcelona subway stations, I. Mariñas-Collado, A. E. Sipols, M. T. Santos-Martin, and E. Frutos-Bernal

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Traveller behaviour in public transport in the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic in the Netherlands, Sanmay Shelat, Oded Cats, and Sander van Cranenburgh

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Characterising public transport shifting to active and private modes in South American capitals during the COVID-19 pandemic, Jose Agustin Vallejo-Borda, Ricardo Giesen, Paul Basnak, José P. Reyes, Beatriz Mella Lira, Matthew J. Beck, David A. Hensher, and Juan de Dios Ortúzar

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Bus OD matrix reconstruction based on clustering Wi-Fi probe data, Yunshan Wang, Wenbo Zhang, Tianli Tang, Dazhong Wang, and Zhiyuan Liu

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Meta-analysis of price elasticities of travel demand in great britain: Update and extension, Mark Wardman

Submissions from 2021

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Understanding Contextual Attractiveness Factors of Transit Orientated Shopping Mall Developments (Tosmds) for Shopping Mall Passengers on the Dubai Metro Red Line, Ayman Abutaleb, Kevin McDougall, Marita Basson, Rumman Hassan, and Muhammad Nateque Mahmood

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Incorporating travel behavior regularity into passenger flow forecasting, Zhanhong Cheng, Martin Trépanier, and Lijun Sun

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Medium-term public transit route ridership forecasting: What, how and why? A case study in Lyon, Oscar Egu and Patrick Bonnel

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Mode shift to micromobility, M. Ensor, O. Maxwell, and O. Bruce

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People-focused and Near-term Public Transit Performance Analysis, Alex Karner

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Forecasting bus ridership using a “Blended Approach”, Catherine T. Lawson, Alex Muro, and Eric Krans

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A multi-task memory network with knowledge adaptation for multimodal demand forecasting, Can Li, Lei Bai, Wei Liu, Lina Yao, and S. Travis Waller

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Hybrid Approach Combining Modified Gravity Model and Deep Learning for Short-Term Forecasting of Metro Transit Passenger Flows, Loutao Shen, Zengzhe Shao, Yuansheng Yu, and Xiqun (Michael) Chen

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Multi-stage deep learning approaches to predict boarding behaviour of bus passengers, Tianli Tang, Achille Fonzone, Ronghui Liu, and Charisma Choudhury

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Short-term origin-destination demand prediction in urban rail transit systems: A channel-wise attentive split-convolutional neural network method, Jinlei Zhang, Hongshu Che, Feng Chen, Wei Ma, and Zhengbing He

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A two-layer modelling framework for predicting passenger flow on trains: A case study of London underground trains, Qian Zhang, Xiaoxiao Liu, Sarah Spurgeon, and Dingli Yu

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Short-term forecasts on individual accessibility in bus system based on neural network model, Yufan Zuo, Xiao Fu, Zhiyuan Liu, and Di Huang

Submissions from 2020

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Addressing transit mode location bias in built environment-transit mode use research, Laura Aston, Graham Currie, Md. Kamruzzaman, Alexa Delbosc, Nicholas Fournier, and David Teller

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Learning and Adaptation in Dynamic Transit Assignment Models for Congested Networks, Oded Cats and Jens West

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How does the built environment affect transit use by train, tram and bus?, Chris De Gruyter, Tayebeh Saghapour, Liang Ma, and Jago Dodson

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Integrating demand forecasts into the operational strategies of shared automated vehicle mobility services: spatial resolution impacts, Michael Hyland, Florian Dandl, Klaus Bogenberger, and Hani Mahmassani

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Assessment of the transit ridership prediction errors using AVL/APC data, You-Jin Jung and Jeffrey M. Casello

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Magnitude of mode constants in transit mode choice, You-Jin Jung and Jeffrey M. Casello

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Demand forecast of public transportation considering positive and negative mass effects, Ngoc T. Nguyen, Tomio Miwa, and Takyuki Morikawa

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Short-term metro passenger flow forecasting using ensemble-chaos support vector regression, Zhuangbin Shi, Ning Zhang, Paul M. Schonfeld, and Jian Zhang

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Trust in forecasts? Correlates with ridership forecast accuracy for fixed-guideway transit projects, Carole Turley Voulgaris

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Key determinants and heterogeneous frailties in passenger loyalty toward customized buses: An empirical investigation of the subscription termination hazard of users, Jiangbo Wang, Toshiyuki Yamamoto, and Kai Liu

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Modeling demand for ridesourcing as feeder for high capacity mass transit systems with an application to the planned Beirut BRT, Najib Zgheib, Maya Abou-Zeid, and Isam Kaysi

Submissions from 2019

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Geographic mobility of recent immigrants and urban transit demand in the U.S.: New evidence and planning implications, Sandip Chakrabarti and Gary Painter

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Current State of Practice in Transit Ridership Prediction: Results from a Survey of Canadian Transit Agencies, Ehab Diab, Dena Kasraian, Eric J. Miller, and Amer Shalaby

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GIS-based transit trip allocation methods converting stop-level boarding and alighting trips into TAZ trips, You-Jin Jung and Jeffrey M. Casello

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DeepPF: A deep learning based architecture for metro passenger flow prediction, Yang Liu, Zhiyuan Liu, and Ruo Jia

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Employing land value capture in urban rail transit public private partnerships: Retrospective analysis of Delhi's airport metro express, Xinjian Li and Peter E.D. Love

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Review of asset management for metro systems: challenges and opportunities, Alireza Mohammadi, Luis Amador-Jimenez, and Fuzhan Nasiri

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Aggregation techniques for frequency assignment in public transportation, Benjamin Otto

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Examining determinants of rail ridership: a case study of the Orlando SunRail system, Moshiur Rahman, Shamsunnahar Yasmin, and Naveen Eluru

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Ridership Ramp-Up? Initial Ridership Variation on New Rail Transit Projects, Jill Elizabeth Shinn and Carole Turley Voulgaris

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The sensitivity of rail demand to variations in motoring costs: Findings from a comparison of methods, Mark Wardman, Andrew Hatfield, Jeremy Shires, and Mahmoud Ishtaiwi

Submissions from 2018

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Evaluating the Ability of Transit Direct Ridership Models to Forecast Medium-Term Ridership Changes: Evidence from San Francisco, Richard A. Mucci and Gregory D. Erhardt

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Modeling park-and-ride location choice of heterogeneous commuters, Hao Pang and Alireza Khani

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Determining Effective Sample Size to Calibrate a Transit Assignment Model: A Bayesian Perspective, Mohadeseh Rahbar, Mark Hickman, Mahmoud Mesbah, and Ahmad Tavassoli

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Train timetable design under elastic passenger demand, Tomáš Robenek, Shadi Sharif Azadeh, Yousef Maknoon, Matthieu de Lapparent, and Michel Bierlaire

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Enhancing flexible transport services with demand-anticipatory insertion heuristics, Matti van Engelen, Oded Cats, Henk Post, and Karen Aardal

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Improving predictions of public transport usage during disturbances based on smart card data, Menno D. Yap, S. Nijënstein, and Niels van Oort

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Development of railway station choice models to improve the representation of station catchments in rail demand models, Marcus A. Young and Simon P. Blainey

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Railway station choice modelling: a review of methods and evidence, Marcus Young and Simon Blainey

Submissions from 2017

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Cost and time damping: evidence from aggregate rail direct demand models, Andrew Daly, Nobuhiro Sanko, and Mark Wardman

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Short-term forecasting of passenger demand under on-demand ride services: A spatio-temporal deep learning approach, Jintao Ke, Hongyu Zheng, Hai Yang, and Xiqun (Michael) Chen

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Ridership estimation of a new LRT system: Direct demand model approach, Konstantinos Kepaptsoglou, Antony Stathopoulos, and Matthew G. Karlaftis

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A novel passenger flow prediction model using deep learning methods, Lijuan Liu and Rung-Ching Chen

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Forecasting short-term subway passenger flow under special events scenarios using multiscale radial basis function networks, Yang Li, Xudong Wang, Shuo Sun, Xiaolei Ma, and Guangquan Lu

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Measuring the Accuracy of Bus Rapid Transit Forecasts, John Perry

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From trend spotting to trend ’splaining: Understanding modal preference shifts in the San Francisco Bay Area, Akshay Vij, Sreeta Gorripaty, and Joan L. Walker

Submissions from 2016

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Transit passengers’ behavioural intentions: the influence of service quality and customer satisfaction, Juan de Oña, Rocio de Oña, Laura Eboli, Carmen Forciniti, and Gabriella Mazzulla

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Experience conditioning in commuter modal choice modelling – Does it make a difference?, David A. Hensher and Chinh Q. Ho

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Use of Agent-Based Crowd Simulation to Investigate the Performance of Large-Scale Intermodal Facilities: Case Study of Union Station in Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Gregory Hoy, Erin Morrow, and Amer Shalaby

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Perception of Mode-Specific Travel Time Reliability and Crowding in Multimodal Trips, Hao Li, Kun Gao, Huizhao Tu, Yueming Ding, and Lijun Sun

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Factors affecting temporal changes in mode choice model parameters, Nobuhiro Sanko

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Tailoring empirical research on transit access premiums for planning applications, Tao Xu and Ming Zhang

Submissions from 2015

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An investigation on the performances of mode shift models in transit ridership forecasting, Ahmed Osman Idris, Khandker M. Nurul Habib, and Amer Shalaby

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Dynamic Estimates of Fare Elasticity for U.S. Public Transit, Paul Schimek

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Passengers’ valuations of train seating layout, position and occupancy, Mark Wardman and Paul Murphy

Submissions from 2014

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Potential for mitigating greenhouse gases through expanding public transport services: A case study for Gauteng Province, South Africa, Steffen Bubeck, Jan Tomaschek, and Ulrich Fahl

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Sequential Framework for Short-Term Passenger Flow Prediction at Bus Stop, Min Gong, Xiang Fei, Zhi Hu Wang, and Yun Jie Qiu

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Transportation Futures: Policy Scenarios for Achieving Greenhouse Gas Reduction Targets, Andrew I. Kay, Robert B. Noland, and Caroline J. Rodier

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Predicting short-term bus passenger demand using a pattern hybrid approach, Zhenliang Ma, Jianping Xing, Mahmoud Mesbah, and Luis Ferreira

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A self-learning advanced booking model for railway arrival forecasting, Tsung-Hsien Tsai

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Evaluating light rail sketch planning: actual versus predicted station boardings in Phoenix, Christopher Upchurch and Michael Kuby

Submissions from 2013

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A GIS-based appraisal framework for new local railway stations and services, Simon P. Blainey and John M. Preston

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Public transport use in Australia’s capital cities: Modelling and forecasting, Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Regional Economics (BITRE)

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Forecasting Paratransit Services Demand – Review and Recommendations, Jay A. Goodwill and Ann Joslin

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The cross elasticity between gasoline prices and transit use: Evidence from Chicago, William P. Nowak and Ian Savage

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Transit Boardings Estimation and Simulation Tool (TBEST) Calibration for Guideway and BRT Modes, Steven Polzin, Rodney Bunner, and Xuehao Chu

Submissions from 2012

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Improving ADA Paratransit Demand Estimation: Regional Modeling, Mark Bradley and David Koffman

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Application of geographically weighted regression to the direct forecasting of transit ridership at station-level, Osvaldo Daniel Cardozo, Juan Carlos García-Palomares, and Javier Gutiérrez

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A simulation of the simple Mohring model to predict patronage and value of resources consumed for enhanced bus services, Geoffrey T. Clifton and John M. Rose

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Half-Mile Circle. Does It Best Represent Transit Station Catchments?, Erick Guerra, Robert Cervero, and Daniel Tischler

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Forecasting the short-term metro passenger flow with empirical mode decomposition and neural networks, Yu Wei and Mu-Chen Chen

Submissions from 2011

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Local station catchments: reconciling theory with reality, Simon Blainey and Samantha Evens

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Development of a Mode Choice Model for Bus Rapid Transit in Santa Clara County, CA, Chun-Hung Peter Chen and George A. Naylor

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Forecasting ridership for a metropolitan transit authority, Wen-Chyuan Chiang, Robert A. Russell, and Timothy L. Urban

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Integrating Land Use with Public Transport: The Use of a Discursive Accessibility Tool to Inform Metropolitan Spatial Planning in Perth, Carey Curtis

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Understanding the market for "out of normal hours" train services in Great Britain, Gareth Davies, John Segal, and Ben Condry

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On the state-of-the-art demand forecasting model developed by Netherlands Railways, Bert de Vries and Jasper Willigers

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Transit ridership forecasting at station level: an approach based on distance-decay weighted regression, Javier Gutiérrez, Osvaldo Daniel Cardozo, and Juan Carlos García-Palomaresa

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Open Government Data and Public Transportation, Kenneth Kuhn

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ClicSim - real time simulation of passenger crowding on trains and at stations, Naomi Langdon and Craig McPherson