A DISAGGREGATE DISCRETE CHOICE MODEL OF TRANSPORTATION DEMAND BY ELDERLY AND DISABLED PEOPLE IN RURAL VIRGINIA

S Stern

Document Type

Journal Article

Publication Date

1993

Subject Area

ridership - mode choice, ridership - demand, ridership - old people, policy - disability, place - rural, mode - mass transit

Keywords

Virginia, Transportation models, Transportation industry, Transportation, Transport, Transit, Senior citizens, Rural transit, Public transit, Physically handicapped persons, People with disabilities, Older people, Old people, Mode choice, Modal choice, Mathematical models, Mass transit, Local transit, Handicapped persons, Elderly persons, Disabled persons, Disabled people, Demand responsive transportation, Choice of transportation, Aged

Abstract

This paper uses a correlated multinomial logit model and a Poisson regression model to measure the factors affecting demand for different types of transportation by elderly and disabled people in rural Virginia. The major results are: (a) A paratransit system providing door-to-door service is highly valued by transportation-handicapped people; (b) Taxis are probably a potential but inferior alternative even when subsidized; (c) Buses are a poor alternative, especially in rural areas where distances to bus stops may be long; (d) Making buses handicap-accessible would have a statistically significant but small effect on mode choice; (e) Demand is price inelastic; and (f) The total number of trips taken is insensitive to mode availability and characteristics.

Comments

Transportation Research Part A Home Page: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/09658564

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