A short-cut method for strategy optimisation using strategic transport models

Authors

A. S. Fowkes
A. L. Bristow
P. W. Bonsall
A. D. May

Document Type

Journal Article

Publication Date

2-1998

Subject Area

planning - methods

Keywords

optimisation, strategic, transport, policy, models

Abstract

This paper describes a methodology which permits optimal strategies for strategic transport models to be found by use of a limited number of model runs together with regression modelling of the resulting response surface. Typically, it will be the case that the number of policy variables is sufficiently large that the strategic model cannot be run for all possible combinations of their levels. Furthermore it can be very difficult to interpret the results from a large number of model runs where there are a lot of policy variables changing levels between runs. The proposed methodology models the response surface specifically in the locality of the optimum, thereby greatly clarifying what policy combinations should be further tested with the strategic model. A case study, for the city of Edinburgh, indicates that this methodology can identify improved strategies compared to conventional methods, even when the number of model runs used are far fewer than with the conventional methods.

Rights

Permission to publish abstract given by Elsevier, copyright remains with them.

Comments

Transportation Research Part A Home Page: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/09658564

Recommended Citation

Fowkes, A.S., Bristow, A.L., Bonsall, P.W., & May, A.D. (1998). A short-cut method for strategy optimisation using strategic transport models. Transportation Research Part A, 32(2), 149-157.