Impacts of weather on public transport ridership: Results from mining data from different sources

Authors

Meng Zhou
Donggen Wang
Qingquan Li
Yang Yue
Wei Tu
Rui Cao

Document Type

Journal Article

Publication Date

2017

Subject Area

place - asia, place - urban, mode - subway/metro, ridership - behaviour, technology - passenger information

Keywords

Weather condition, Public transit, Ridership, Smart card data, Shenzhen

Abstract

The existing studies concerning the influence of weather on public transport have mainly focused on the impacts of average weather conditions on the aggregate ridership of public transit. Not much research has examined these impacts at disaggregate levels. This study aims to fill this gap by accounting for intra-day variations in weather as well as public transport ridership and investigating the effect of weather on the travel behavior of individual public transit users. We have collected smart card data for public transit and meteorological records from Shenzhen, China for the entire month of September 2014. The data allow us to establish association between the system-wide public transit ridership and weather condition on not only daily, but also hourly basis and for each metro station. In addition, with the detailed trip records of individual card holders, the travel pattern by public transit are constructed for card holders and this pattern is linked to the weather conditions he/she has experienced. Multivariate modeling approach is applied to analyze the influence of weather on public transit ridership and the travel behavior of regular transit users. Results show that some weather elements have more influence than others on public transportation. Metro stations located in urban areas are more vulnerable to outdoor weather in regard to ridership. Regular transit users are found to be rather resilient to changes in weather conditions. Findings contribute to a more in-depth understanding of the relationship between everyday weather and public transit travels and also provide valuable information for short-term scheduling in transit management.

Rights

Permission to publish the abstract has been given by Elsevier, copyright remains with them.

Comments

Transportation Research Part C Home Page:

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/0968090X

Recommended Citation

Zhou, M., Wang, D., Li, Q., Yue, Y., Tu, W., & Cao, R. (2017). Impacts of weather on public transport ridership: Results from mining data from different sources. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, Vol. 75, pp. 17–29.